HIDDEN FACTS OF THE 2023 RECESSION
The president warned that this international disaster may want to final till subsequent year, that is a circumstance that we are able to retain to screen and of route we are able to manage.
Period, sure, 2023. Recession and the sector is as darkish as that Warren Buffee as soon as stated that he become satisfied while others had been arvirful. Let's take a look at whether or not humans are Greedy or fair. Full sure with cash influencers Hey excellent information right here Hopefully there too I'm careworn I do not know why there are such a lot of who made the 2023.
HIDDEN FACTS OF THE 2023 RECESSION
Even though there were so many videos and I had articles on the recession and many people asked me to write this article.I myself have been as high as stocks since the beginning of the year and , first of all, I've said many times that US inflation was too high yesterday at 7.5% in January 2022. This article will cover risky assets and also explain when and what can end this crash.
People are now saying there will be a recession in 2023, but sometimes I wonder if they know that there is actually a recession in the US and some countries in Europe. A recession means the country's economic growth will be negative for her second straight quarter.
Look at America, they were already in recession in July 2022. Quite low already in the second quarter, the big nations are already showing a downward trend, we see economic growth. China is mostly negative, the UK is mostly negative, and so are European countries. The member states of the European Union also have nearly negative economic growth, but what about Indonesia? I have to be very grateful that Indonesia can still grow, right? Amidst global uncertainty, we see even higher growth thanks to ha commodities prices. This is because we cannot deny that we are still a country heavily dependent on natural resources.
The United States, the world's largest economy, is already in recession and does not have to wait until 2023. Her IHSG in the US like the Shanti 500 Index is down, with him up 24% in 2022. The risk of this recession is really the price of the US stock market.Back in Indonesia, economic growth is still good and IHSG is still up 5% as of this article in 2022, so the real The risk that the Indonesian economy and stock market will fall.
Let's hope our defenses are strong. How confident are people that 2023 will bring a recession, among many factory insiders like Mrs. Sri Mulyani and Jokowi, who say the world will be dark and devastated in 2023? and how afraid they are. due to surgery.
This is now a mass movement driven by figure he factories and digital media influencers. In fact, it's a really good opportunity to experience Warren Buffett's famous quotes at Greedy One Others Greedy.
You can understand other people's psychology as it is, and act in the opposite way. Therefore, when building our index, we started with a list of the top 10 influencers we invested in quantitatively, based on monthly views and qualitative. Together with the woman Sri Mulyani, we are also very influential finance ministers in the financial world. Also, don't include people who haven't said anything about 2023. Then I watch a video about 2023 and try to understand their point of view. if positive.
Negative or Neutral Recession, now the 1/3 one is that if he has a wonderful opinion. Recession I'll deliver the variety zero if ne terrible I deliver a factor, so if he's Neutral I deliver a factor zero.five then the fourth I try and make ready or the share of the element is in line with their month-to-month anesthetic so 10 eleven human beings cannot equalize the entirety due to the fact the precept that feels greater will genuinely have an impact on greater a whole lot of human beings, now I cannot get the perspectives data, I use a multiplier as an assumption, so right here are my non-public assumptions, now the 5th from right here we will get the cash influencer index variety as of October 2022, in case you upload up the entirety is getting toward one, it method human beings once more scared or honestly firefour, now if he's getting toward zero, it method human beings are Greedy or grasping and the end result is Indonesia's cash influencer index as of October 2022 is zero.ninety seven because of this that it's miles very stage and we already understand that almost all of human beings are virtual, what ought to we do? manner disclaimer, no want to be too critical this index isn't always crafted from a study academically and scientifically, of course, there are numerous Flows and additionally the drawbacks, I'll try and matter them to peer the huge picture.
We saw an inverse curve in April 2022 and officially hit a recession in July 2022, so I think the first recession is a reality for most countries. So this is reversed.
So one of the strongest indicators for spotting a recession. The conclusion of this indicator is that a 1-month short-term deposit can earn more interest than a 10-year deposit. And vice versa. , or vice versa? For more information you can try Google Google yourself.
But in my opinion Mike B from Indonesia is different. Because our economy accounts for her 55% of people's consumption. Due to its large population, it does not need to be overly dependent on other countries.
His second super combo of interest rate inflation again, recession erupts. With today's stock market prices or reflective data, why are interest rates so high? Invasion has not yet returned. Only use acne medicine until the recipe works, not right away. Is your face smooth? Acne meds need to be used frequently, changes like inflation and interest rates, third time inflation and economic downturn take time, but first gas sword market crash. future-oriented movement.
Act on expectations of the future. It's how the market looks when you look at it, and also how you can predict the future. If the stock market drops a lot, is it really more than 10-15%? The future economy is usually a bit bleak. Let's take a look at the global stock markets in 2022. By the time this article was written, the United States, Japan and Germany were each down 24%, Hong Kong's stock index was down 22% this year, and China was down his 17%.
So the market is the price of the bad stuff in the future, maybe only after the announcement.Now that the war is over, the stock market will start to fall and rise. So why hasn't the stock market risen yet? This also dropped some hints from me. First of all, don't be afraid. Most importantly don't be afraid to click news and article spotlight. Uninstall the investment app or sell below. We like to ask my sister when the stock market goes down so we can catch the train. This is the moment when the stock price goes down. Maybe a little longer, specs drop longer.
I think it will go down again, just follow the development, especially news about US inflation and interest rates are leading indicators, affect other countries, and there are also many wars in the modern world, Yes, and there is also debt Be sure to follow the news of the European countries that are almost breaking out now.
News and the second, save regularly as usual to be ready to add more in the future, then the third. Don't forget to prepare the omelet. Also, try adding double the usual amount. B. Usually an emergency fund if you work in an office and have no dependents.
That's six times your monthly spending. So try to increase your spending by 9x or 12x. You can invest your monthly income and emergency funds in a recession-proof money market fund. Yields could be even higher if interest rates continue to rise People looking for a safe asset that has a conservative risk profile and is recession-proof should consider retail money market mutual funds and original sbr Government bonds such as ST and SR. Fourth tip, you don't have to spend a lot of money to try live vruggle for the first time. Because in the current situation there are a lot of things that are more difficult. Let us share too.
I created an article about saving tips here. Next is the fifth message. If you have long-term debt with a variable rate, that is, it goes up and down depending on the interest rate. Yes, it is logical to repay part of it. Now, if you have the money and don't stifle your free time, it must have gone up at the start of this year's variable mortgage rates, as interest rates will flow in the future. The rate has now reached 12.5%.
For example, 14.15% next year really hurts. Just pay the interest and the final tip is keep investigating the results. With layoffs happening all over the world right now, you never know when a storm will hit our lives. Mas Andri Wongso Quote: If we are hard on ourselves, the world will be kind to us, but if we are kind to ourselves, the world will be hard on us. Get ready. Feel free to comment and discuss below. Thank you for checking. see you in the next article.
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